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So, with that knowledge, Dan doesn't even think about joining Mike. Not even for a second. That is a really big play right there, disguised as an off the cuff remark. But that's how you keep an alliance intact. So, Sierra sits in a position right now to do like Keith Nale and "stick to the plan" or she can switch it up, join Mike and Carolyn and take a shot at dumping Dan.

While Sierra made a real nice play there, Mike is the master Survivor player this season. We should all already know this, but just in case we didn't, he proves it right here. He tells us that Dan was so uppity in their conversation and he was SO sure that he wasn't going home, that it made him question the "plan." If Dan feels THAT solid, it's because he knows he's not going home. And since the obvious plan is for Dan to take Rodney and Will to the finals, Mike deduces that one of the girls has got to be the target of the vote tonight.

Now, before I start bowing at the throne of Mike, this is as much about how horrible Dan is at this game as it is how good Mike is. All Dan had to do was play along and act worried. He could thank Mike for bringing it to him and agree to whatever Mike wants to do. Again, Mike is dangerous. Scrambling Mike is twice as dangerous. So instead of calming the fire inside of Mike, all Dan did was stoke it. Well done, chucklenut.

With his new thoughts, Mike goes straight to Carolyn and Sierra. Even his approach is fantastic as he sneaks up on them in the middle of a Dan discussion and scares the crap out of them, especially Sierra. I'm going to type his entire little speech here because it's THAT good. "Really fast, just look who's in the shelter sleeping." Carolyn notes that it's Dan and Rodney. "That tells you everything you need to know about Tribal day. Who feels safe, who doesn't. He points to the sleepers and says, "That right there is the Survivor code for 'I ain't going nowhere. I don't need to do nothing.'"

You can actually see it come over Carolyn’s face and she searches for words and has none. "Dan is voting one of you tonight with the boys. One million percent. One million percent." He points at Carolyn and says, "And I think it's you tonight. I'm gonna let you guys finish talking and go get my stuff." And he walks away with the aftershock of this bomb lingering. What's interesting here is that Sierra KNOWS what's going on and Carolyn is left trying to figure it out. Carolyn tells us that she's worried that Mike is right and they're gunning for her. She is not totally sure she can trust the guys. She's torn between saving herself with her idol and trusting that the guys are voting Dan and saving it for one more vote.

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