Survivor: Micronesia - Fans Vs Favorites
A Lost Puppy Dog
By Jim Van Nest, Survivor Analyst
April 6, 2008
Hello, good people, and welcome back from a long layoff to Survivor: Micronesia. Since last we spoke, we're down to the Final Four, Kansas hasn't choked yet, baseball season started and the networks are FINALLY getting new episodes of hit shows back on the air. Since it's been a while and we had the rare week off from Survivor, let's recap where we are at this point. In the past two episodes, we've lost four Survivors - Jonathan to med evac, Kathy to crazy evac and Chet and Tracy have both been jettisoned from the Malakal tribe. Despite winning every immunity challenge since the Tribal Switch, Airai finds their advantage still only at one. Airai has six people remaining: James, Parvati, Eliza, Alexis, Natalie and Jason. Malakal has five people left: Ozzy, Amanda, Cirie, Ami and Erik. My quick math tells me that we have seven favorites left against only four fans. It's safe to say that the fans better start integrating themselves into these tribes soon or this show will be Survivor: Micronesia - Fans.
Everyone is starting to get tense around camp as the merge approaches. Ozzy is being seen as a huge threat and Ami has been plotting to dump him for a couple weeks now, but she can't seem to rally the fans to get behind her. Meanwhile, Ozzy has taken Erik under his wing and done his best to make him Ozzy Jr. Despite her claims that she's not, Amanda has not shown anything to indicate that she is anything but an Ozzy pawn, which essentially means that Ozzy has three votes in his pocket and the likelihood of Ami or Cirie being able to turn the tables at this point is very low. When you throw in the fact that Ozzy is also sporting the Hidden Immunity Idol, he looks to be long for this game, as long as his arrogance doesn't get the best of him.
Over at Malakal, James and Parvati are pretty much running the show, but the previews seem to indicate that Parvati may make a move behind the big guy's back with the other ladies on the tribe. We've seen very little of Natalie and Alexis so it's hard to say where they're at. What we do know is that they were prepared to follow Joel down one of the dumber paths in Survivor history, so for me, their gamesmanship is still heavily in question. Jason found Ozzy's fake immunity idol and is riding pretty high because of it. Poor Eliza has some of the worst luck I've ever seen on this show. First she hitches herself to Fairplay who flakes out and leaves after three days. Then she hitches up to Cirie who promptly lies to her alliance's face and dumps Yau Man. Then she gets the gift of the switch and is sent to chucklenut beach, only to lose her biggest ally to a freak leg accident. As it is, the puzzle queen is an island out there and relying on winning challenges to stay alive. However, Eliza is whip smart and if the rest of Airai knows what's good for them, they'll try to take her out before she can make a move.