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Brandon - 25-1. Brandon actually broke my "creepy stalker-meter" last week, but I think he has another couple shows left in him. He's still part of the main Upolu alliance and did fall in line and vote with the rest of the group. If he continues to obsess over Mikayla though, his days will be numbered quickly.

Papa Bear/Dawn/Stacey - 50-1. Papa Bear and Dawn will be the next boots of the Savaii tribe, but I'm not sure in what order. It will probably depend on who's whinier that day (think Dawn). With Christine's departure last week, Stacey is a woman without a country and it'll take a complete Brandon melt-down to keep her in the game past the next Upolu Tribal Council.

Christine - 100-1. Christine's temporary game should last at least one more week. This is not based on any prowess she's shown in this game at all...she's done everything wrong. This is based totally on her Redemption Island competition. Which brings me to:

Semhar - 1 million-1. I have seen nothing from Semhar that would suggest she has any chance of winning a duel on Survivor. It has been several seasons since I've seen a player less equipped to be on this show. She's in meltdown mode because she was sent to Redemption and she's not a very good challenge player anyway. I honestly think she may even lose a "make up your own spoken word poem about Survivor" challenge. Semhar remaining in this game would be an amazing upset, even against Christine.

We join the "action" as Christine arrives at Redemption Island to wake up Semhar. Christine tells us that she thinks her tribe wasn't ready for someone who's playing the game right off the bat. She says that Coach didn't like her from the beginning. Okay, work with me here...maybe it was the whole "they're temporary players" thing. Whatcha think? I mean, do we really need to wonder about this? You don't have to watch a lot of Survivor to know that if you tell someone you're voting them off, they're probably gonna come after you. Maybe Semhar could do some spoken word about it.

Back at Upolu, Mikayla is a little upset and confused over why Brandon wanted her out so bad. As she's speaking to Coach about it, Brandon comes in to interrupt them. Brandon goes on some more about how he doesn't want to be a villain like Russell and he wants to be a hero. And he hates that he's already started lying and blah, blah, blah...for the love of God, cue the theme song.

We come back to Upolu as they receive some Tree Mail. Looks like the first RI duel is on. Coach "humbly requests" to attend the duel and Stacey asks to go with him. Coach tells us he very badly wants Christine to lose this duel as he doesn't want her to ever come back into the game.

Probst sighting! As he brings the duelers in, he asks Christine if there's any animosity between her and Coach and Stacey. She starts to go off again about how Coach didn't like her and he had it in for her. Ohfer...if she doesn't go home after this duel, I'm punching a kitten! He moves on to Semhar and she talks about how sucky Redemption Island is. And with that, let's get to the duel.

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