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Weekend Forecast for Ocrtober 9-11, 2015

By Reagen Sulewski

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So it's That Feeling In Your Feet, You Know The One, You Have It Right Now: The Movie. Though it's clearly not done with any real danger, the effect is the same as seeing it actually being done, and the recreation, both of the act, and the Towers themselves is spectacular. Though that's merely the finale, and it concerns itself a lot with what makes someone want to do this in the first place. That may be why its limited opening was so much less than other IMAX films. It may also just be that it's a biopic about a pretty strange topic, and also may have people a little on edge about seeing the WTCs on screen again in such a way.

Gordon-Levitt has become a low-grossing, if consistent actor, who occasionally branches out into bigger material. This likely falls under the former category, with films like 50/50, Don Jon and Premium Rush serving as examples of what his draw is. Which is to say, not a ton. Although it's being pitched as an Oscar contender, it's likely to have to claw and scrape it way to that thanks to a modest opening weekend of about $8 million.

The Martian, therefore, should take its second weekend at the top of the charts, after starting out with $54 million, or basically exactly what Gravity opened up to. Word of mouth for the film should be solid, though it also appears to put it in the “good but not great” category. At any rate, it's an easily accessible, excitable and witty film with a likable star, so a strong second weekend of $36 million can be expected.

Hotel Transylvania 2 had a decent second frame with $33 million and pulling within spitting distance of $100 million before this weekend. It's slightly ahead of the first film's $150 million domestic performance, and seems to point to a way through for Sandler's career. Give it about $20 million this weekend.




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Expanding crime film Sicario earned a modest $12 million last weekend, but with a fairly strong reception and should see good holdover, though its path to an Oscar nomination became a little bit tougher, given how much emphasis the Academy places on box office. It's a rather dark film, and while Blunt is getting more and more recognition as a leading lady (though this is certainly an unconventional lead), she's still got some ways to go. Give it $9 million here.

It has come to my attention that some of you readers are uncomfortable with my frequent cheapshots at Nancy Meyers' big bag of bland, The Intern. Certainly, with its $35 million to date, there are indeed some of you (but not as many as previous Meyers films!) who are in to the cinematic equivalent of a cup of camomile tea and a nice book. I'm certainly not one to say you can't go for that kind of thing, so carry on. Give it $8 million this weekend.


Forecast: Weekend of October 9-11, 2015
Rank
Film
Number of
Sites
Changes in Sites
from Last
Estimated
Gross ($)
1 The Martian N/A N/A 36.5
2 Hotel Transylvania 2 N/A N/A 20.1
3 Pan N/A New 14.2
4 Sicario N/A N/A 9.0
5 The Walk N/A N/A 8.5
6 The Intern N/A N/A 7.9
7 The Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials N/A N/A 4.1
8 Black Mass N/A N/A 3.0
9 Everest N/A N/A 3.0
10 The Visit N/A N/A 2.2

Continued:       1       2

     


 
 

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