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Weekend Forecast for February 14-16, 2014

By Reagen Sulewski

February 14, 2014

Rock, paper, scissors is *not* the best foreplay.

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The second choice for romance is Endless Love - yet another 80s remake! - based on a Scott Spencer novel about teenaged romance between a high society girl and a boy from the wrong side of the tracks, and the parents who attempt to keep them apart. Alex Pettyfer and Gabriella Wilde star as the pair (and you've kind of heard of one of them), with Bruce Greenwood and Joely Richardson as her parents. In the hands of director Shana Feste, this looks like warmed over teenaged Nicholas Sparks, which isn't exactly a demerit for box office purposes. Reviews are terrible, calling it cliched and sappy, but again, the time of the year. Ultimately the limit on this film will be that even its target audience doesn't really know its stars, and they typically don't come out for romance movies anyway. I'm reminded of Pettyfer's highest profile role in Beastly, which barely managed $25 million total. I'd look for this to earn about $8 million this weekend.

Not an '80s remake, but based on a novel from the '80s, is Winter's Tale, and it is easily the most ridiculous of this weekend's films. The film stars Colin Farrell as a thief in early 1900s New York, who falls in love with a heiress in one of the houses he breaks into. Fatally afflicted with tuberculosis (as one was prone to at the time), she dies in his arms. He then learns that he has the power of reincarnation (wut?) and tries to find her spirit through the ages, all while being chased by a mad, heavily scarred gangster played by Russell Crowe. Did I mention it's written and directed by Akiva Goldsman? It's like someone decided to make Box Office Poison: The Movie. It's difficult to take this giant ball of sap seriously, and the trailer should probably come with a record scratch at a certain point of the narrative. Reviews are expectedly terrible, but might I say once again: time of year. That'll save it from complete disaster, but maybe $6 million is what you could expect. Even romantics have some standards.




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The box office will, though, be led once again by The LEGO Movie, which debuted to a stunning $69 million last weekend, and should very shortly be the top grossing film on 2014 to date. The animated film based on plastic building blocks was many times better than it had any right to be if just looked at from a product perspective, and a little bit better than you might have expected if you're familiar with the creative talent behind it. A second weekend of $44 million seems likely with its genre and word-of-mouth.

The Monuments Men survived bad reviews and lackluster marketing to open to $22 million, seemingly on the back of Matt Damon and George Clooney's star power. It's actually Clooney's biggest hit as a director by far, though word-of-mouth is potentially trouble for its final total. One thing in its favor potentially – it skews older, which is a demographic that tends to turn out later in films' runs. I'd give it about $13 million for weekend two.

Finally, there's Ride Along, as mentioned earlier. Now in its fifth week, it should manage about $6 million to pull to about $114 million by the end of the weekend, a massive hit by any standard.


Forecast: Weekend of February 14-16, 2014
Rank
Film
Number of
Sites
Changes in Sites
from Last
Estimated
Gross ($)
1 The LEGO Movie 3,775 0 44.2
2 About Last Night 2,253 New 21.3
3 RoboCop 3,372 New 13.4
4 The Monuments Men 3,083 0 12.8
5 Endless Love 2,893 New 8.8
6 Winter's Tale 2,965 New 6.5
7 Ride Along 2,511 -289 6.0
8 Frozen 2,101 -359 4.5
9 That Akward Moment 1,922 -887 3.7
10 Jack Ryan: Shadow Recuit 1,278 -861 2.5

Continued:       1       2

     


 
 

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