One Month Out Part II

By BOP Staff

May 13, 2010

If the toys ever fought, bet on the space aliens. They've mastered cloning technology.

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Kim Hollis: The wide releases for the weekend of June 18th are:

Toy Story 3
Jonah Hex

What are your feelings/expectations about these projects?


Josh Spiegel: I will be seriously shocked if Toy Story 3 doesn't become the movie to either top The Dark Knight's opening weekend, or come close to it. You've got IMAX, you've got 3D, you've got Pixar, and you've got one of the most beloved film franchises of the past 20 years. I don't see how this movie fails, at least in its first three days. Now that Iron Man 2 has opened, this is the next movie that I'm going to see probably as soon as I get home from work on June 18th. Jonah Hex....good cast (and Megan Fox), bad trailer, and potentially awful movie. I don't see this one being big, even if it opened on another weekend.

Michael Lynderey: Jonah Hex has given me a negative vibe for awhile now. As for that other movie coming out... well... what can one really say? At this point, all I can do is bow down in reluctant obedience to the unstoppable empire that is Pixar. One day, perhaps even in this century, I'm sure they'll make a bomb that gets butchered by critics. But that day is not June 18, 2010, I think.




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Matthew Huntley: When the Toy Story 3 teaser first previewed before UP last summer, the crowd roared with anticipation. A year later, it seems like the enthusiasm has died down a bit, but that's not to say the movie's opening will be any less huge (although its staying power might be). The bottom line is that audiences have been eagerly awaiting a third Toy Story movie for quite some time, especially since Toy Story 2 went so far beyond expectations in terms of quality. I'll definitely see it, but the trailers have diluted my expectations. Then again, with the exception of CARS, Pixar has always defied my expectations, so there's little reason to think this can't do the same. I'm hoping TS3 will be even better than its predecessors, but even if it's not, it will likely open to the tune of $100 million because of its established fanbase, and $300 million in total seems guaranteed because of the genre and Disney/Pixar brand name.

Jonah Hex looks incredibly stupid, although that may make it a guilty pleasure. It has the same look and feel as Ghost Rider, and that film opened to $50+ million back in 2007. Given the release date and its hyper-testosterone mentality (there's at least a half-dozen explosions in its short, two-minute trailer), a $35 million opening feels like a safe bet, with about $100 million in total, although there will probably be little critical praise to go along with it.

Jason Lee: We've never seen a Pixar movie that opened like a mammoth blockbuster (i.e. $100+ mil opening weekend) and I question whether or not Pixar is the type of studio that produces films that will ever act like a mammoth blockbuster. I'm just not sure it'll ever happen; I think you love Pixar films and you want to go see Pixar films, but there's no rush to see it opening weekend. That said, Toy Story is probably the best candidate they'll ever have for mammoth blockbuster status. I would love to see it open $100+ mil, but I can't see it overtaking Shrek The Third's $121 mil opening.


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