One Month Out Part I
June 2010
By BOP Staff
May 12, 2010
Kim Hollis: The wide releases for the weekend of June 4th are:
Get Him to the Greek
Killers
Marmaduke
Splice
What are your feelings/expectations about these projects?
Josh Spiegel: I'm relatively excited for Get Him To The Greek, as it reunites the director and breakout supporting star of Forgetting Sarah Marshall; the trailer looks pretty funny, and I'm curious to see what a Judd Apatow-produced movie looks like when the story is about momentum of some kind. Splice, I'd see if I didn't assume it'd be icky, but the trailer is effective. The other two movies....well, let's just pretend they don't exist, right, kids? We're NOT going to see Marmaduke, RIGHT??
Brett Beach: Marmaduke: Falls in the category of "family film that I may one day be called upon to sit through by my son unless I have instilled the right cinema-loving values within his frame, but otherwise ain't happening." This could hit $100 million by default, as it falls two weeks after Shrek and two weeks before Toy Story and families may need a CGI dog voiced by Owen Wilson to get them through the early days of summer vacation
Killers: I don't actively dislike Ashton Kutcher, although I realize I have seen only two of his films as a leading actor (Dude, Where's My Car and The Butterfly Effect). I do actively dislike Katherine Heigl and can' t imagine this will do much to dissuade me of that opinion. I'll wait for Knight & Day. From a grosses standpoint, it'll be less than The Ugly Truth but more than Just Married. Call it $70 million.
Get Him to the Greek: Russell Brand may have nabbed Katy Perry, but in my mind I view him as a second-tier Sacha Baron Cohen. I like what Nicholas Stoller did with Forgetting Sarah Marshall but am more excited for what he and Jason Segel are attempting with the upcoming Muppets movie. Show-biz comedies are hard sells (like satire) but this won't have the disadvantage of Funny People's dramatic sub-plots or 148 minute running time. It should produce FSM level grosses with a slight chance for breakout.
Splice: This was in the top three on my ballot for the BOP 25 of Summer. As I said in Trailer Hitch, I put faith in Sarah Polley's career choices. If she is going to the horror well again, it's not because she is behind on payments for some new car or home. I like that she and Adrien Brody (another actor prone to making mostly smart/interesting choices) are both professionally and romantically paired in the film. The trailer makes the film seem creepy, and not in generic horror genre ways. I feel this could be a low-key sleeper hit with strong reviews leading some on-the-fencers in to see it...but then again Drag Me to Hell only made $40 million so who knows?
Michael Lynderey: This is that one June weekend without an $100 million earner, I think. Four movies in one day? That's been rare even in the spring lately. Really, I see Get Him to the Greek as the potential breakout here, especially since I suspect good reviews are in store for it. Give it $70 million, just like Role Models, I Love You, Man, and all the rest.
Killers looks okay, but I don't quite see 27 Dresses / Ugly Truth-level results here. Maybe $50 million. Same number I'd give Marmaduke, which doesn't seem all that exceptional, and lacks the new "secret" weapon of kids' movies: 3D.
I still can't see Splice breaking out in any sense.
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