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Michael Lynderey: I'm kind of shocked that Pirate Radio was even sent out into wide release. It's a movie loaded with character actors and no stars, and it's about British radio in the '60s, a topic I suspect isn't of that much interest even in the U.K. So to me, it had only slightly bigger box office potential than In The Loop, another well-reviewed British comedy that did just okay ($2.4 million) in limited release this summer. A similar result would frankly have been my expectation for Pirate Radio, so the very fact that it pulled in a $3,000+ per-screen average on over 800 theaters should be commended. I can't imagine why it would make more.

Putting our money where our fangs are...

Kim Hollis: A number of us missed Twilight by... a lot. Here's a chance to be a hero again. What are your opening weekend expectations for New Moon?

Josh Spiegel: Based solely on the ridiculous amount of hype and Twilight's opening-weekend take, I'd be shocked if this one doesn't inch somewhere between $80-90 million. It's a disappointing statement (at least considering how little I care about the franchise), but lots of teenage girls are going to make this one another big hit.

George Rose: I think we're looking at $100 million, but I get the feeling it will crumble quickly to around $250 million. New Moon won't have killer legs, but even $250 millon would be a great build on the $190 million Twilight made, and positions Eclipse for an equally massive opening and total. 2012 will be lucky to make that much money domestically.





Brett Beach: I will not undersell this. I will not undersell this. After the one two punch of Sex and the City and Twilight last year showed that women as a group could drive a film to Event Picture status, I think New Moon will explode opening weekend and to quote Hitchcock, there won't be a dry seat in the house. It will be north of $100 million. I am going with $105 million.

Sean Collier: $87 million opening, $287 million domestic, $575 million worldwide.

Jason Lee: $95 - $100 million. I think this approaches Iron Man territory, sad as it is.

Reagen Sulewski: I'm going to the pessimistic view on this, which I define as $105 million plus.

Max Braden: I have a hard time swallowing a blind 30-50% increase over the first movie's opening weekend. The November opening weekend record is held by Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire at $102 million on the same pre-Thanksgiving weekend in 2005. And the second two placeholders are also Potter movies. Twilight may be a phenomenon but it's still heavily geared toward only half (or even just a quarter) the demographic of the Harry Potter series. I do expect an increase in the number of screens it plays on, so I'll be specific and say $22,000 PSA (based on Twilight's $20,368) at 4000 theaters (vs. 3,419 for Twilight) = $88 million. Domestic gross easily over $200 million, probably around $230 million.

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