Max Braden's February 2009 Forecast
By Max Braden
February 6, 2009
Weekend Starting February 20th (Oscar wekeend)Madea Goes to Jail
Oscar weekend is usually bad news for box office, but Tyler Perry just keeps pulling them in. Is it a comedy? Is it a drama? It's a money maker. Oscar nominee Viola Davis appears alongside Perry in drag as the feisty grandmother. Madea's Family Reunion opened to $30 million in February 2006, and the audience reaction to this trailer has been good.
Forecast: $25 million.
Award Season Alert!: The Motion Picture Sound Editors have their annual ceremony on Saturday, and then... The Oscars! Starring Hugh Jackman and Danny Boyle.
Weekend Starting February 27The Jonas Brothers: The 3-D Concert Experience
After Miley Cyrus earned major money for Disney with her concert movie last February, putting out this one was a no brainer. I can only assume that the girls are even more crazy for the guys than they were for Miley. I have no idea who these guys are, because...I'm old..er, but I wouldn't bet against them.
Forecast: $30 millon
Street Fighter: The Legend of Chun-Li
Is there any daylight in this movie? Is there anyone I want to see starring in it? Well, the Oscar-nominated Michael Clarke Duncan is in it. Lana Lang from Smallville stars as the video game character (in live action. Now that I think about it, a video-game style movie might be interesting.) I guess there's always the need to meet some kung fu craving, but come on, GI Joe is going to make this one look silly.
Forecast: $14 million.
It used to be that even Harrison Ford's dramas were something to hype. I had to check the credits of this title before realizing that Ford was starring. Only a few weeks away and I haven't seen one trailer for it on TV. It's an immigration movie, which despite press in political news isn't likely to be a big draw for audiences. Like Traffic, the issue is shown from the ground point of view and from the office point of view: Ford plays an officer while Ray Liotta plays a policymaker. Writer/director Wayne Kramer has three crime-based movies under his belt, all of them opening under $4 million.
Forecast: $4 million.