Monday Morning Quarterback

By BOP Staff

June 18, 2007

Hey! You got your chocolate in my peanut butter!

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Legs not likely to be like Jessica Alba's

Kim Hollis: Will terrible reviews and shaky word-of-mouth be a huge factor in Fantastic Four's legs or do you think it will perform as a children's film anyway?

Tim Briody: I don't see it matching the first one's $154.7 million, so yes.

Kim Hollis: Yeah, I think it will drop in much the same way that the earlier three-quels did. Though I'm sure I said the same thing about the first Fantastic Four and it proved me wrong.

David Mumpower: That's definitely the question of the upcoming week. The original Fantastic Four had a final multiplier of 2.86 with total box office of $154.7 million. I just don't see Silver Surfer doing much beyond $125 million. In fact, less would not surprise me. It's such a blah movie that should hemorrhage venues in two weeks.

Kim Hollis: I can see it being a film that a lot of people will just wait to see on DVD.

David Mumpower: What surprises me the most about Silver Surfer is that it wasn't punished for the lackluster quality of the last movie like most sequels to bad films are.

Perhaps Warner Bros. should plan a heist of their own

Kim Hollis: Ocean's Thirteen fell 47% to $19.1 million with a cumulative gross of $69.8 million. What should Warner Bros. think of this performance?

David Mumpower: As I said in my daily numbers analysis column on Friday, I was expecting weekend box office of $17.5 million. So, assuming this estimate isn't way high, this is a pleasantly surprising hold-over, all things considered. Ocean's Thirteen appears likely to make over $100 million now, so it's doing better than I was braced for.

Tim Briody: Could've been worse?

Reagen Sulewski: It could've been much much worse. Considering it started out on a downward trend, there could have been a rats/sinking ship situation.

Kim Hollis: It's holding better than most of the other big films, so we'll call that a win. The nature of its release date means it's going to do worse than its predecessors, though.

David Mumpower: I do think they have relieved people of the negative memory of Ocean's Twelve, so they should consider that a win. Ocean's Thirteen is such a tight heist movie.



Nancy Drew just couldn't solve the case of the missing box office

Kim Hollis: Nancy Drew opened to $7.1 million. Are you surprised by its failure?

David Mumpower: Absolutely. This movie had name brand recognition and it should have hit a niche that is frequently underrated at the box office. It will show solid legs throughout but this opening weekend is a marketing failure, pure and simple.

Reagen Sulewski: I had been expecting this to perform about equivalent with an Amanda Bynes/late period Hilary Duff film, so this is a little lower than I expected but not excessively so. However, the reason I had it that low in the first place is that they really hadn't done a good job with selling it in the first place.

Kim Hollis: I guess I am a little surprised by this performance. It seemed like it could fill a niche for the pre-teen girl crowd that hasn't been hit for awhile. Of course, the question is, who reads Nancy Drew anymore? She was old-fashioned when I was a kid (though I enjoyed the books).

David Mumpower: Sadly, Nancy Drew Does the Hardy Boys would have sold better.

Kim Hollis: She's too young for them! The Hardy Boys *will* do better. Er, Hardy Men.

David Mumpower: The fact that you've thought about this so much alarms me. Do you have a side gig doing Hardy Boys slash fiction?

Kim Hollis: Who doesn't? No, it's just a little icky to think of little Emma hanging out with Ben Stiller and Tom Cruise.

David Mumpower: As opposed to Cruise hanging out with lil' Joey Potter from Dawson's Creek?

Tim Briody: Don't worry, she's just a few years away from being the new Lindsey or Paris.

Kim Hollis: Nah, I think she'll be okay.

David Mumpower: You're breaking the hearts of the kind people at DListed and Perez Hilton.

Kim Hollis: I'm sure some other skank will rise to the forefront by that time.

David Mumpower: Enter Demi Moore and Bruce Willis' kid!

Tim Briody: You folks really scare me sometimes.


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