Weekend Forecast for December 8-10, 2017

By Reagen Sulewski

December 7, 2017

I'm not schlumpy, you're schlumpy!

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Franco directs himself, with his brother Dave playing the film's co-star and Wiseau's best friend, caught up in his thrall. The cast also includes Seth Rogen, Alison Brie, Josh Hutcherson, Zac Efron, Jason Mantzoukas, basically that whole new Brat Pack (save Jonah Hill), all trying to figure out just what makes this guy tick, Ed Wood style. The thing to wonder about here is whether anyone outside of those really in the know about The Room will have any interest in The Disaster Artist. It must look implausible and incomprehensible outside of that circle.

Opening on 19 screens last weekend, it earned $1.2 million and expands to about 800 this weekend, though that super high screen average is no doubt influenced by LA audiences being quite familiar with this story and the film behind the film. With this expansion, it should be able to work itself up to around $7 million this weekend.

Pixar's Coco should thus have a third weekend at the top of the box office, having earned about $115 million domestically so far. It's a bit underwhelming compared to other Pixar results, though it does seem assured to get past Cars 3 from earlier this year, especially if it can make it another two weekends to the Christmas bonanza. One can't shake the notion that the foreign culture elements of the film are hurting the bottom line given the strong reviews, when most Pixar films earn well into the $200 millions if they're even slightly good. Although the international money is good (it's already the highest grossing animated film in Mexican history), two domestic whiffs in a row and three out of the last four must leave Pixar anxious for The Incredibles 2 to arrive. For this weekend, Coco should manage about $19 million this weekend.




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When is a $200 million earning film a disappointment? When it cost over $300 million to make. Justice League is sitting at about that mark after three weekends, one of which was a holiday one. While its international totals make up for that to a slight amount, this is DC's big team-up movie that will shoot below its stand alone Wonder Woman movie from earlier this year, showing amazing waste of potential. It should fall to about $8 million this frame, and may largely be out of the picture by Christmas, missing out on $50 million or more that could have been up for the taking.

Wonder is proving to be the leggy, inspirational hit of the fall, having taken in nearly $100 million for its story about a boy with a facial deformity trying to enter back into public school. The starpower from Julia Roberts and Owen Wilson can't be hurting either, and it should add in about $8 million for its third weekend.

Thor: Ragnarok continues the strong Marvel run, in deep contrast to DC's grim results of late, crossing the $300 million mark, on its way to $350-375 million – depending on how Christmas goes for it. The lesson here: be fun. Give it $6 million this weekend.


Forecast: Weekend of December 8-10, 2017
Rank
Film
Number of
Sites
Changes in Sites
from Last
Estimated
Gross ($)
1 Coco N/A N/A 18.8
2 Justice League N/A N/A 8.7
3 Wonder N/A N/A 8.3
4 The Disaster Artist 840 +821 6.9
5 Thor: Ragnarok N/A N/A 6.5
6 Just Getting Started 2,146 New 6.1
7 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri N/A N/A 4.5
8 Daddy's Home 2 N/A N/A 3.9
9 Murder on the Orient Express N/A N/A 3.5
10 Lady Bird N/A N/A 3.3

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