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Last week, there was a merge and all of the castaways were sent to live at Coyopa Beach as punishment for past-performance. What the merged tribe lacks in imagination they make up for in self-publicity, because the new tribe name is #Huyopa. #Huyopa, who are always hungry, immediately went in search of stuff to eat and found a bunch of hoarded trail mix in Julie’s bag. Okay, hoarding food on Survivor? Not cool. Eating everything in sight so that other people feel they have to hoard food in order to get any? Also not cool. Sensing her number was up, Julie quit, and was given what seemed to be the easiest quit by Probst ever. He didn’t even call her a quitter, shame her in front of the rest of the tribe or ask her how disappointed John Rocker would be in her decision.

Here are the power rankings for this week:

1. Jon

Jeremy wants to talk with Jon. Josh wants to talk with Jon. Everyone wants to talk with Jon, and it’s not because of his engaging personality. It’s because both sides have pinged him as the one most likely to flip. Wes, Alec, Josh and Reed want him to go bro, while Jeremy and Missy want him and Jaclyn to stick with them. Jon seems tempted to flip over to Josh’s alliance of couples plus Alex, but I think this would be a disastrously bad move for his end game.

At the moment, Jon and Jaclyn are allied with Missy, who will be planning the votes, Baylor, who no-one respects, Natalie, who is annoying and Jeremy, who is respected for his game play and therefore likely to get his throat cut around final five or so. Among that group, Jon and Jaclyn are Mr. and Ms. Congeniality, and if one of them makes it to the end they’d get votes both from within and outside their alliance. But if Jon were to flip, he would marginalize himself and Jaclyn, who would be painted as a coat-tail rider. He would receive no votes from his Hunahpu alliance because he ruined their chances in the game, and probably no votes from his new alliance, who all have stronger alliances within the group.

It would be a terrible move. So obviously, Jon is strongly tempted by this offer.

2. Jaclyn

Jaclyn is in the similar swing position to Jon – “so stressful”, she complains, but it’s exactly where she should be. She claims to be keeping her options open, though from what we saw she basically dismissed Josh and does not seem on board with flipping.

3. Missy

Missy is still in the driver’s seat of her alliance, which is currently six against five. I did enjoy her maternal advice to Baylor – “you’re going to have to be a little bit phony” – but her phoniness to Julie was disappointingly transparent. Of course, after 18 days of listening to Julie, my phoniness would be pretty transparent too. Anyway, she still seems to be running things on her alliance, or at least the smarter players on her alliance are letting her run things.

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