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Weekend Forecast for November 7-9, 2014

By Reagen Sulewski

November 7, 2014

We're sending Matthew McConaughey into space. All is lost.

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An adaptation of a Japanese-themed series, it's set in the city of “San Fransoyko”, a trans-Pacific merging of cultures, and centers around a teenage robotics prodigy named Hiro (who do you think you are Disney, Neal Stephenson?) and his pet balloon robot, invented by his brilliant brother who disappeared under mysterious circumstances, and wow that's a lot of plot just for the setup. Anyhow, while investigating his disappearance, Hiro stumbles across a nefarious supervillain's plot involving swarm robotics. Gathering together a team of unlikely specialists, Hiro creates a new superhero team to take on this great danger to the city.

Equal parts The Iron Giant and The Incredibles, Big Hero 6 is perhaps rooted more in the pre-teen demographic that comics are known for more than anything else that's been produced so far in the recent comic renaissance. Just by virtue of being animated, it's already aiming for a younger audience and possibly limiting itself from older movie goers. Then again, it's got an easy charm and an attractive animation style (Disney is clearly learning from Pixar) and a ready made mascot that will sell bajillions of toys to kids this Christmas (whatever Scott Adsit was paid for this, he's underpaid). It's worth noting that Big Hero 6 is Disney's sole release between now and Christmas Day, and they have been pushing it with an appropriate level of urgency. They're gonna make it a hit whether you want it or not. Luckily, you probably want it. This should ultimately win the weekend with $64 million.




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Holdovers are a bit of an afterthought this weekend, with Jake Gyllenhaal's Nightcrawler likely coming in third with around $6 million, following a narrow loss to the horror film Ouija in its debut. The media thriller did well for its budget but had trouble connecting with larger audiences. Ouija itself should fall to around $6 million with October now just a memory. It should probably finish up with about $50 million.

Fury and Gone Girl have both proven to be somewhat leggy after their release and should slide in at $5 million apiece for their fourth and sixth weekends respectively. Gone Girl is also turning out to be the Ur Example of a fall hit, and should creep up to the $175 million mark, although Oscar attention could change that significantly. I'd also look for The Book of Life and St. Vincent to hit $5 million this weekend.


Forecast: Weekend of November 7-9, 2014
Rank
Film
Number of
Sites
Changes in Sites
from Last
Estimated
Gross ($)
1 Big Hero 6 3,761 New 62.1
2 Interstellar 3,561 New 57.5
3 Nightcrawler N/A N/A 6.5
4 Ouija 2,678 -221 6.1
5 Gone Girl 2,224 -610 5.4
6 Fury 2,834 -479 5.3
7 The Book of Life 2,166 -628 5.2
8 St.Vincent 2,455 -97 5.0
9 John Wick 2,152 -437 4.6
10 Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day 2,381 -515 3.8

Continued:       1       2

     


 
 

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