They Shoot Oscar Prognosticators, Don’t They?

Post-Mortem

By J. Don Birnam

March 3, 2014

Lupita's brother is totally stealing her spotlight.

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Best Documentary Feature. 20 Feet From Stardom. I saw this one coming because it was the feel good one, like last year’s Searching for Sugarman. Count on more winners like these in the future.

Best Sound Mixing. Gravity. *Silence* (Get it?)

Best Sound Editing. Gravity - Even if it is not always the case that the same movie wins both sound awards, it was pretty expected that it would happen this year.

Best Supporting Actress. Lupita Nyong'o. Amazing win and amazing speech. And 12 Years a Slave has its first win of the night.

(Meanwhile Twitter is down apparently, after Ellen’s picture tweet?)

Best Cinematography. Gravity. Emmanuel Lubezki wins a deserved Oscar after losing for his amazing work in Children of Men and The Tree of Life. I am very pleased.

Best Film Editing. Gravity. I should have gone with the technical sweep; alas, I was hoping they would reward the more deserving piece. At this point in the night I am thinking Gravity could actually pull of the Best Picture win. Five Oscars so far. If it does not win, it is definitely on its way to become the next Cabaret with at least six if not seven Oscars.

Best Production Design. The Great Gatsby. A new Oscar trivia from 2014 if Cuarón wins Best Director: who are the two people to win more than one Oscar at the 2014 Academy Awards?

Best Original Score. Gravity. An expected win, but I have to go a bit against the grain here and say that it was my third or fourth favorite of the nominated scores. Still, Gravity is on a huge roll.

Best Original Song. "Let It Go" from Frozen. A sweated a bit that my favorite would fall to U2, but it prevailed, making the Lopez pair the 12th EGOT winner in history (Robert Lopez).

So far in these Oscars there have been zero actual surprises, I would argue. Some categories were unclear (would it be Lupita or Jennifer?) but in the categories with expected winners it has all panned out. Bo-ring?




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Best Adapted Screenplay. 12 Years of Slave. 12 Years a Slave is well on its way to a Best Picture win, in my opinion.

Best Original Screenplay. Her. I thought American Hustle could steal this, but it does seem like it’s going home empty-handed at this point.

Best Director. Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity. Deserved, expected, and magnificent to see the Academy recognizing technical achievement.

Best Actress. Cate Blanchett. The expected winner and, again, the deserving one. The Academy has made good picks, and the Woody Allen controversy did not derail her. And a graceful but muted call out to Woody Allen himself, which received tepid applause.

Best Actor. Matthew McConaughey. I still want Leo to win one, but Matthew gave an incredible performance.

Best Picture. 12 Years a Slave, as expected, repeating results at the Globes, the BAFTA, the Critics Choice, etc. Begging the question: Do we even need the Oscars anymore?

My final score: 20/24. Actually a good year overall, but with a lot of expected winners panning out, I expect a lot of people did very well. I had a 23 out of 24 winner at my Oscar party, which is a record for us.

How did you do?


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