Friday Box Office Analysis

by Tim Briody

June 8, 2013

Trick or treat!

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The Purge

The Purge is the big winner on Friday with a strong $16.7 million, with $3.4 million of that credited to late Thursday showings. Despite poor reviews, The Purge is in a bulletproof genre and its unique concept brought out viewers tired of franchise film after franchise film. By the end of the weekend, The Purge stands to be one of the most successful films of 2013 relative to budget: it only cost $3 million to make. Even if Friday ends up being its best day, which is very likely the case, a 2.6 multiplier (after removing the Thursday take) will help it to have a fantastic weekend of around $38 million.

The Internship

Vince Vaughn and Owen Wilson try to make the magic happen again with The Internship and fall flat with $6.6 million on Friday. That's good enough for second place on the day but it should be passed by Fast & Furious 6 and Now You See Me by the end of the weekend. With even worse reviews than The Purge, this is a genre that is most certainly not bulletproof and the lack of jokes in the previews just seem to scream "hey, remember when you liked Wedding Crashers eight(!) years ago?" And unfortunately for The Internship, the audience has long since moved on. Look for a weekend of $18.4 million.


Notable Holdovers

Last weekend's surprise, Now You See Me, drops 40% to $6 million. This is a very good hold and is already one of the surprises of the summer box office season as it's got a pretty good shot at reaching $100 million. Look for a weekend of $19.1 million.

Meanwhile, Will and Jaden Smith's (and M. Night Shyamalan's) After Earth collapses 66% from last Friday with $3.3 million. This has rapidly become standard operating procedure for Shyamalan's films. But he'll keep making them, I'm sure. Give After Earth $10 million for the weekend.

Projected Estimates for the Top Ten (Three-Day)
Estimated Gross
1 The Purge 38.0
2 Fast and Furious 6 19.9
3 Now You See Me 19.1
4 The Internship 18.4
5 Epic 14.3
6 Star Trek Into Darkness 12.0
7 After Earth 10.0
8 The Hangover Part III 7.2
9 Iron Man 3 6.2
10 The Great Gatsby 4.5



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