February 2011 Forecast

By Michael Lynderey

February 4, 2011

Justin so gangsta.

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8. Big Mommas: Like Father, Like Son (February 18th)
Tyler Perry would blush. Was this film inevitable? Well, I don't know, they never did make Problem Child 3, at least not for the silver screen. But here comes Big Momma again, teamed with frequent comic relief upstart Brandon T. Jackson, recruited to join the force here in an attempt to appeal to the younger demographic (funny, I don't feel appealed to). I think it might've been children who propelled the first sequel to such a nifty number ($70 mil!). Yes, there are still children out there today in America, if in much more limited numbers, but I think the shine's worn off this particular titan. Prove me wrong, momma.

Opening weekend: $22 million / Total gross: $48 million

9. The Roommate (February 4th)
Nostalgia, I welcome thee. See, The Roommate takes me back to the good old days, when the studios would pluck out WB Network actors and get them to tussle around in a tawdry thriller, preferably one screenwritten by Kevin Williamson. There's also the inevitable comparison to that one movie with Jennifer Jason Leigh and Bridget Fonda. It looks like Leighton Meester's really beginning her stepping out into film, and is thus as of yet untested, but the film would appear to be pleasantly generic enough to appeal to its target demographic. No big breakout scheduled to happen here, I think, but PG-13 thrillers keep getting made for a reason. After all, The Roommate is from Screen Gems, a studio unshy about keeping said tradition alive.

Opening weekend: $14 million / Total gross: $37 million


10. Sanctum (February 4th)
We rejoin the hallowed world of 3D, where, this time, a plucky group of deep sea divers are up to no good in the depths of the Australian undertow. Exciting? I don't know. There's no villain, not even a giant carnivorous sea monster with designs on global geo-political domination. Yes, I know James Cameron's name is plastered all over the advertising, but I sense an enthusiasm lack that extends beyond just me, this time. Some knee-jerk interest may help the opening weekend, but it's all downhill from there.

Opening weekend: $11 million / Total gross: $32 million

11. Shelter (February 25th)
The trailer for this horror-thriller is kind of interesting, and I like Julianne Moore and Jonathan Rhys Meyers just fine. More than that, I do not know, and when it comes to this year's fright film sweepstakes, at least thus far, I think it's a safe bet that Shelter is going to come in third, at least at the box office.

Opening weekend: $13 million / Total gross: $31 million

12. The Eagle (February 11th)
Back we go into ancient Rome, with a gaggle of British character actors in tow, as always, and the perhaps decidedly un-British Channing Tatum leading the way. Tatum would appear to have amassed some star power, at least as far as high-profile romance and action is concerned, but this one seems to be flying a little under the radar. Comparisons to last month's Season of the Witch or perhaps even the unlucky The Last Legion come immediately to mind (that is, if your mind is full of useless information about movie box office). Mark Strong's here too, and to explain that he plays the villain yet again would be insulting to the fine art of redundancy. I haven't seen many trailers for this one, and unless critics love it, the movie will probably be gnawed over by Bieber.

Opening weekend: $11 million / Total gross: $29 million

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