Monday Morning Quarterback Part I

By BOP Staff

May 26, 2009

The third trophy is the cuddliest.

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Tim Briody: It's going to run smack into a wall in the face of Pixar next weekend, while the original had a free run through the holiday season.

Max Braden: I'd be surprised if it makes less than $160 million in its full run. It's not getting bad reviews, and it would have to have a pretty poor multiple for a family film not to reach that mark.

Reagen Sulewski: I share the perception that there just wasn't a lot of passion for this sequel, which seems pretty paint by numbers. And with lots of other summer options, and a big ol' kneecap coming next week, this is more than likely done by the third week of June.

Jim Van Nest: Considering the around the corner competition, I'd wager even the studio has switched their focus to the "just in time for Christmas" DVD release.




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The Rising Machines are better than Salvation. Who knew?

Kim Hollis: Terminator Salvation had a three-day total of $43 million, a million less than the $44 earned by Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines in three days. It has a five-day total of $67.2 million. What should Warner Bros. take from this result?

David Mumpower: I think I speak for the entirety of BOP's staff when I say, "WHAT IN THE BLUE HELL JUST HAPPENED???" I know that we had some diverse opinions about the potential upside of Terminator Salvation with Reagen and I being on the upper end of the spectrum, but absolutely none of us had expected this degree of failure from such an established movie property. Just to put this in the proper perspective, Nick Stahl as John Connor did better than The freakin' Dark Knight as John Connor. The first six days of Rise of the Machines saw domestic revenue of $72.4 million before we adjust for inflation. After we take into account 2009 ticket pricing, we're talking about $86.2 million. Terminator Salvation has fallen WELL short of that target despite having the star of the #2 film of all-time joining one of the most storied franchises in the industry. If someone had told you in December that Paul Blart Mall Cop would have a better domestic total than Terminator Salvation, you would have laughed in their face and bet all of your worldly possessions against such an outcome. Stunned isn't a strong enough term to describe my shock over this turn of events. This is a worst case scenario result for Warner Bros. that probably mothballs the franchise for at least half a dozen years.

Pete Kilmer: Word-of-mouth just killed this movie. After a stellar set of commercials and trailers, it really looked like McG had made something that was just going to KILL at the theaters and get the fanboys in seats and shut them up, what he delivered...well, not so much. We got a story that didn't follow the franchise's internal logic, the woeful misuse of cast members (Bryce Dallas Howard) and the lack of John Connor for a good chunk of film, and some other critical missteps in the story really hurt this project.


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