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Weekend Forecast for June 27-29, 2008

By Reagen Sulewski

June 27, 2008

A deleted scene from I, Robot

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Wanted is directed by Russian filmmaker Timur Bekmambetov, whose "Night" series of films make Michael Bay look like Terence Malick. Kinetic doesn't seem to be an adequate word to describe his projects, which use so many effects and CGI that it probably comes close to qualifying as the second animated movie of the week.


Wanted's insane stunts and bulletplay are what's driving interest in this film, with several scenes that qualify as money shots. That bullet-bending clip will drive a lot of people to theaters (and then possibly lead to the premature end of a number of would-be William Tells). None of the film's stars are really able to open an action film all by their lonesome (even Jolie), but together, and combined with the subject, could lead to a pretty substantial weekend. It appears to be very much a love it or hate it movie, with your stance depending on how you like your style (in this case, a lot) and your substance (not too much). For at least one weekend, style should win out, with Wanted coming in with about a $45 million weekend.




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Get Smart was a solid number one film in its debut, with $38.7 million, making it three out of four Steve Carell films that have opened in the top spot (Dan in Real Life, we're all disappointed in you. Apparently it needed more pratfalls.) The action-comedy hybrid was a decent audience pleaser and should outrun its mediocre reviews to have some legs, though the new films from this week could nip that back a little. Look for $22 million for its second weekend.

"Uh oh" has to be the operative thought process at Universal and Marvel studios after the second weekend performance of The Incredible Hulk, which fell 60 per cent to $22 million. After a successful reboot of the franchise, expectations were high that it would, at least, not completely crater in its final weekend. So much for that, and it appears that the well has just been poisoned too much for anyone to take the property seriously. Aside from the Avengers Movie, it'll probably be a long time before we see another Hulk movie. Look for just $10 million in its third weekend.

Kung Fu Panda fared much better with $22 million of its own in its third weekend, though it faces some pretty direct competition from Wall*E. The films have very different tones, so that should mitigate some of that, but it's very clearly not the main show. It's on track for about a $13 million weekend.

The Love Guru and The Happening are about to start their race to the bottom, after Guru bombed with a $14 million opening weekend, and The Happening dropped almost two-thirds from last week. Both should end up around $5 million this weekend, and might be gone from the top ten next weekend.


Forecast: Weekend of June 27-29, 2008
Rank
Film
Number of
Sites
Changes in Sites
from Last
Estimated
Gross ($)
1 Wall-E 3992 New 73.2
2 Wanted 3170 New 44.7
3 Get Smart 3915 +4 22.5
4 Kung Fu Panda 3670 -383 13.4
5 The Incredible Hulk 3354 -154 10.0
6 The Love Guru 3012 0 5.6
7 The Happening 2483 -503 5.2
8 Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull 2556 -615 4.7
9 Sex and the City 1755 -687 3.8
10 You Don't Mess With the Zohan 2147 -1131 3.2

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