By Walid Habboub
1. 50 First Dates
Whether you are an Adam Sandler fan or not, you laughed at seeing Rob
Schneider get pummeled with a baseball bat by Drew Barrymore. If you
didn’t laugh at that, you probably went “Aaaah,” at the site of a
penguin wearing a Hawaiian shirt narrowly escaping getting run over by a
car. Either way, 50 First Dates has all the formulas for being a hit for
Sandler. The premise is cute, the cast is right and the ads have been
effective.
$30 million Opening, $105 million total
2. The Passion of Christ
The last film to get this much non-hype was The Blair Witch project and
that film did boffo box office. While the religious matter of the story
won’t have the same appeal of that as a horror movie, enough people will
be curious about this film to see it. Everyone will be heading to the
theatres to have certain questions answered. Questions such as: How does
this film insult Jews, what does Aramaic sound like and what’s it really
like to see an actor flush his career down the toilet? Regardless, if
this film gets a wide release, it should make a lot of money.
$25 million opening, $70 million total
3. Barbershop 2
I utterly despised the first film so I won’t spend too long on this one.
Suffice it to say that Ice Cube, Eve and Cedric the Entertainer are back and
this time Queen Latifah has joined them. I’m sure something funny will
supposedly happen and we’ll all laugh heartily. At least we’ll have
something to watch other than Janet Jackson’s nipple.
$22 million opening, $50 million total
4. Eurotrip
As much as I hated Barbershop, I really liked Road Trip. The film was
funnier than it should have been and had a wit that no one expected it
to have. Eurotrip, a non-sequel to Road Trip, looks to take things a
bit further as it takes the jokes across the pond and onto the continent
of bad teeth, strong beer and smelly cheese. Old School has developed a
cult following and if enough word gets out that those two films might
be linked to Eurotrip somehow, Eurotrip can be very successful.
$20 million opening, $80 million total
5. Miracle
Being a Canadian, the trailers for this film made me laugh furiously.
“The Greatest Sporting Event of All Time?” Puh-lease, it’s not even the
greatest event in hockey. Still, it’s a feel-good sports movie and it
should do well (even though Kurt Russell looks more like Howard Cosell
than Herb Brooks). Good fun for the whole family will mean big business
for Disney.
$16 million opening, $90 million total.
6. Twisted
Pop quiz…Whose career has disappeared faster? Ashley Judd’s, Sam
Jackson’s or Andy Garcia’s? The answer is, yes. Well, all three actors
cross paths in this film by Philip Kaufmann, who is actually a very
talented director. This mystery is in the same vein as all of Judd’s
previous films and looks to build on that success.
$14 million opening, $40 million total
7. Welcome to Mooseport
Continuing on the personal likes and dislikes theme, I don’t like Ray
Romano even though I can’t help but laugh at him. As well, I’m a sucker
for Gene Hackman in a comedy. The pairing of the two looks to be a
hilarious combination and I personally wouldn’t mind shelling out the
money to see this film.
$13 million opening, $50 million total
8. Catch That Kid
A Spy Kids rip-off, Catch That Kid should prove attractive enough to
make decent coin for its studio. Though this might not be the best time to
release a kids flick, and with it having a seemingly more serious tone,
the film will find it difficult to score the same success of Spy Kids.
Still, this type of film has proved successful and should do well.
$10 million opening, $28 million total
9. Confessions of a Teenage Drama Queen
It’s only natural that a movie would be made about a Teenage Drama Queen
since it was inevitable that a Hollywood exec would finally order a film
made about his daughter. This film stars Lindsey Lohan, and other many
other people who dare call themselves actors. The only question this
film will pose is: What the hell has to happen for these movies to no
longer be made?
$7 million opening, $38 million total.
10. Broken Lizard's Club Dread
The only film I’m hoping will do better than what I expect it to is Club
Dread. The comedy group’s previous outing, Super Troopers, was genius in
places and bland in others. Overall, these guys could be the next thing
in comedies so I’m hoping they make it big time with this film.
Originally scheduled to be released in August 2003, Dread is now in a
less competitive market and can hopefully do well.
$5 million opening, $20 million total
Read Marty Doskins' February Forecast
Read David Mumpower's February Forecast
Read Les Winan's February Forecast