They Shoot Oscar Prognosticators, Don't They?

The Revenant Leads Oscar Nominations

By J. Don Birnam

January 14, 2016

All my suffering better win me this Oscar.

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Nominees in Major Categories and Early Picks

The obvious early picks are DiCaprio and Larson for lead acting. Larson was happy that Vikander made it into supporting, and DiCaprio does not really have any viable competitor. The screenplay races also seem locked in favor of the two Best Picture contenders Spotlight and The Big Short.

You can check my predictions and laugh about how badly I did, here . Overall I got 74/106 in the main categories, which raises to 82 if you count my alternative picks. As usual, I got three or four of the tech races, and four or better in the major categories except Supporting Actor, where Hardy and Ruffalo both threw me.

Our full early Power Rankings in the major categories are here.


The Academy has provided a full list of nominees here . We will show you the only ones you are really interested in, below. Links to individual power rankings are also provided.

Best Picture
Spotlight(early pick)
The Big Short
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Room

Best Director
Todd McCarthy – Spotlight(early pick)
Adam McKay – The Big Short
George Miller – Mad Max
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu – The Revenant
Lenny Abrahamson – Room

Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant (early pick)
Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
Matt Damon – The Martian
Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl




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Best Actress
Brie Larson – Room (early pick)
Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn
Cate Blanchett – Carol
Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years
Jennifer Lawrence – Joy

Best Supporting Actor
Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies (early pick)
Sylvester Stallone – Creed
Christian Bale – The Big Short
Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
Tom Hardy – The Revenant

Best Supporting Actress
Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl (early pick)
Rooney Mara – Carol
Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
Rachel McAdams – Spotlight

Best Original Screenplay
Spotlight (early pick)
Bridge of Spies
Inside Out
Straight Outta Compton
Ex Machina

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Big Short (early pick)
The Martian
Carol
Room
Brooklyn

Best Foreign Language Film
Son of Saul (Hungary) (early pick)
Mustang (France)
A War (Denmark)
Theeb (Jordan)
Embrace of the Serpent (Colombia)
The leader is Son of Saul, of course, while the entire branch saved the nominating committee from itself by looking to two nominees outside of their usual Euro-centric nominations.

Best Documentary Feature Film
Amy (early pick)
The Look of Silence
Cartel Land
What Happened, Miss Simone?
Winter on Fire
I was surprised at the snub for the Marlon movie, but it seems as if the Indonesian genocide story will once again fall to a musical biopic, this time the acclaimed Amy Winehouse piece

Best Animated Feature Film
Inside Out (early pick)
Anomalisa
Shaun The Sheep
Boy and the World
When Marnie Was Here
I went 3/5 again here, missing out on the most artsy picks in the end

Other Early Picks

Editing: Spotlight
Cinematography: The Revenant
Score: The Hateful Eight
Production Design: Mad Max
Sound Editing: Mad Max
Sound Mixing: Mad Max
Visual Effects: The Revenant
Costumes: The Danish Girl
Make Up: Mad Max

As in past years, we will have full awards and category-by-category coverage from now until February 28th. Welcome to the final stage.


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