Monday Morning Quarterback Part II

By BOP Staff

July 8, 2015

Meh. They don't even have dad bods.

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Jason Barney: I don't mean to mix and match my comments from both of this week’s openers, but it is appropriate. Paramount spent somewhere between $155-$175 million on Genisys and it may not make half of that domestically. Those sorts of numbers for a sequel or for a long running franchise are alarming.

What has happened with Magic Mike may be disappointing from a blockbuster point of view, but part two is going to make money. It won't bring in as much as some had hoped, perhaps, and maybe this is the worst case scenario for Magic Mike as well, but at least when a film makes money the pressure is off the studio, the creative team, etc. Movies are made to bring resources into the studios’ accounts, period. This film will accomplish this goal.

Kim Hollis: Based on the social media buzz I was seeing among my female friends, I’m surprised Magic Mike XXL didn’t have a faster start. Even if I would agree that the original film probably didn’t deliver what people were expecting, I think it still is fondly remembered and well-regarded. With that said, I think the scheduling set it up to come in substantially worse than the opening weekend of the first film. With a supremely front-loaded Wednesday debut and a weekend where its primary demographic would be doing family activities, there wasn’t much hope for XXL to come anywhere close to a similar opening weekend or five days. I also wonder whether the lack of Soderbergh as director hurt it some. The audience for XXL was 96% female. Magic Mike at least had some men attending (it was 73% female).




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David Mumpower: I maintain that there were two failures here. Ben already touched on the first one, which was the overall quality of the first film. I'm not saying it was a bad movie, simply not what the advertising and premise promise. Think of it as 50 Shades of Grey in theory, The Station Agent in execution. When you advertise that you're going to sell sex, you'd better deliver. Magic Mike didn't do that, instead offering a strange and unwieldy character study wrapped in a series of g-strings. So, the memories of the original movie are not fond, which damages the sequel.

The second issue is a significant tactical error. This movie's July 4th week release is, simply stated, a terrible mistake. BOP harps and harps upon the negative impact of July 4th on the box office. That effect is harshest when the holiday occurs on Saturday. This past weekend was a huge no-no for any new release.

That problem is magnified with Magic Mike XXL. We're talking about a movie whose primary selling point is a ladies night at the movie theater, the same as we've witnessed with the Sex and the City films as well as the original Magic Mike. By slotting this film on a Wednesday, it negated that possibility. Ladies night doesn't work well on a weeknight. So, the studio selected the wrong release date, and then their on-the-fly adjustment made the situation exponentially worse.

Ironically, the way to maximize the franchise's revenue to date would have been to flip the two premises. Start with the road comedy and that film demonstrates better legs while inflating the opening weekend of the sequel, even if it's an esoteric character study.


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