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Zane

First voted out

(original prediction: 1 in 18)

Zane came to Survivor with a plan – to win by playing a great social game. It had one fatal flaw: Zane was a dumbass with no sense of strategy who couldn’t keep his mouth shut.



Roxy

Second voted out

(original prediction: 1 in 24)

Russell dismissed Roxy as a “lunatic” which I don’t think was true, but she was very clearly the outsider on Matsing. To be seen, but not heard at the reunion.



Angie

Third voted out

(original prediction: 1 in 72)

Angie was a case of “what you see is what you get.”



Russell

Fourth voted out

(original prediction: 1 in 12)

I thought Russell would at least make the merge, but who could predict that Matsing would be so awful at immunity challenges? They didn’t even have to win, they just had to not lose a couple. But even mediocrity was beyond Matsing.



Dana

Medevac’d

(original prediction: 1 in 36)

Dana’s leaving the game proved to be an even bigger let-down than I thought it would, as the Kalabaw women all claimed to have an alliance with Denise, which would have shaken things up considerably. Poor Dana.

Dawson

Fifth voted out

(original prediction: 1 in 72)

Editing suggested that Dawson was the first to be voted out of Kalabaw because she couldn’t help taunting Jeff Kent. I’m not entirely convinced of that, but it did coincide with my pre-game analysis so I’ll go along with Probst and CBS. At least she got her wish to kiss Probst – though he did take two steps back to avoid getting it on the lips.



Katie

Sixth voted out

(original prediction :1 in 12)

Katie’s pre-game plan was to “lay low and not talk.” I had my doubts at the time, but I must say she executed that plan perfectly.



RC

Seventh voted out

(original prediction: 1 in 12)

RC got off to a quick start with an early alliance and a clue to the hidden immunity idol. Unfortunately it also led to her demise in the game, but how was she to know that Abi was a paranoid maniac with delusions of grandeur? One of the cruel twists of Survivor is that the game rewards pairing up on Day One, but you have to take on the risk that you're pairing with a raving lunatic.


So, here's hoping for some real blind-sides tonight.

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