Monday Morning Quarterback

By BOP Staff

January 24, 2011

Does anyone remember that I led a mediocre team to the NFC championship? Anyone?

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Reagen Sulewski: It's not really impossible that Kutcher could eventually turn into an action hero - to pick two not so random examples, look at Seth Rogen and Nicolas Cage - whereas the future prospects for a lot of young actresses really peak around the time they win their Oscar. Look at Renee Zellweger or Charlize Theron, for example. It's easy and obvious to say that Portman is more talented but that's not always going to translate into bigger roles and box office.

Obviously, we should look for a lot of nominations for The Twilight Saga: Eclipse...

Kim Hollis: What are you expecting to see from Tuesday's Academy Awards nominations? Are there any surprise nominations you think could happen in one of the major categories?

Josh Spiegel: I expect either no surprises or maybe one or two. With ten Best Picture nominees (and the ten films being almost set in stone based on every precursor), the only surprises could be Christopher Nolan not getting a Best Director nomination (I'll be angry, not surprised, if that happens, as it's happened before), or someone unexpected showing up in an acting category. The real surprise would be everything I assume is getting nominated doesn't, but there's no precedent for a movie like The Social Network or The King's Speech showing up in a lot of categories. But, okay, here's a potential surprise: Barbara Hershey gets nominated for Black Swan. It could happen; I doubt it, but you never know.

Matthew Huntley: Honestly, I'm expecting more of the same. My prediction is The King's Speech will lead with nominations, followed by The Social Network and Black Swan. These are all deserving, yes, but if I had to choose the nominations myself, I would make sure Mother and Child and The American received some. In the major categories, I would NOT be surprised to find The Fighter or The Kids Are All Right getting a nomination for Best Picture, but this is a case of just filling the ten slots. I would be surprised if Inception received nominations in any of the acting categories and I'm still wondering if True Grit is going to have better luck with the Academy than it did with the Golden Globes. It's a good movie, but it didn't stand out to me as being worthy of Oscars.




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Edwin Davies: I don't want to sound like I'm just echoing everyone else, but the Awards season this year has been particularly predictable so I'm not sure if there will be any real surprises. If there are, I think it'll be of the "Justin Timberlake is nominated for Best Supporting Actor rather than Andrew Garfield" variety. Not spectacular, world-shattering upsets, just slight variations on what we have seen at every other awards ceremony over the last few months. (For what it's worth, I wouldn't be unhappy with a nod for Timberlake. He has a magnetic quality in The Social Network that is just perfect for his character.) I'd be pleasantly surprised if, say, Winter's Bone, one of my favorite films of last year, managed to sneak a Best Picture nod just to fill up the ten space, and deeply annoyed if Jennifer Lawrence doesn't get a Best Actress nomination for her work in that film, though.

Brett Beach: Having faithfully read our Power Index for the last six weeks, it certainly feels like there won't be any surprises. It all comes down to figuring out when to zig and when to zag. Still, my big "predictions" (as my nominations list shows) is that there will be multiple noms in the supporting actor category for The Social Network and that Hailee Steinfeld will pop up in Best Actress.

Max Braden: That the Screen Actors Guild put Hailee Steinfeld in the Supporting category for her nomination puzzles me a little, but I figure the Academy will mimic those nominations. The snub that comes first to my mind is I don't expect Eisenberg to get the nomination. And I know there's a lot of love for The Social Network, but I think the Producers Guild will indicate how the Oscars will go this year and The King's Speech will be the ultimate winner.

Michael Lynderey: I think the big surprises will be the snubs. A major shocker there might be coming - like a no Garfield, unfortunately, or somebody like a Lesley Manville pulling in a nomination. Beyond that, nothing will shock me, although the announcement that Ricky Gervais will be hosting the Oscars would be lovely.

Reagen Sulewski: I've sort of talked myself into betting the chalk on this one, which usually leads to being blindsided on something. My longest shot is Paul Giamatti, along with some of my Blue Valentine picks. This year more than most does feel like a year with few surprises. I guess that's what happens when you expand Best Picture out to 10.


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