Monday Morning Quarterback Part I
By BOP Staff
July 20, 2009
Kim Hollis: I tend to agree that people seemed to have missed Harry and the gang, but I temper that with some reserve. If Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince has a rougher-than-expected second weekend drop, it's possible that we're looking at a slightly shrinking audience for the franchise. Even with that said, though, people are going to have more than enough time to catch up before the next one is released in 2010. It's the eighth and final film that I expect to be a doozy.
Jason Lee: I was entirely expecting this film to come under both Order of the Phoenix and Goblet of Fire so for it to possibly top $300 mil and become the #2 grossing film in the series (that is, until Deathly Hallows Part I comes out) I think this is phenomenal.
Scott Lumley: I doubt that it was planned, but once again this very, very weird summer seems to have helped Potter quite a bit as well. We've had so many surefire blockbusters fail to meet expectations this year that it seemed like people started looking to the next Harry Potter film in desperation.
Reagen Sulewski: That this is even a question is another data point supporting how unusual this film series is. About the only other film series we've come to expect one film per year is Saw. Two years between Potter films and people are reaching for the methadone.
Big and BiggerKim Hollis: With two films remaining in the franchise, what are your expectations for the box office of parts one and two of the Deathly Hallows?
Josh Spiegel: I would not be surprised if we see a similar box office performance from, at the very least, Part One of The Deathly Hallows. As a huge fan of the books and a fan of the movies (not huge, but I do get excited to see them), I cannot wait until Thanksgiving 2010 to see what the filmmakers have come up with. The second part should also see some pretty similar performance, unless the general consensus is that the first part isn't up to snuff. The truly die-hard fans of these books may not be happy with the changes the filmmakers come up with, but none of these movies have been too unpopular, so we may be looking at a few Harry Potter movies with close to $300 million.
Kim Hollis: I touched upon this a bit in the previous topic. I believe that Deathly Hallows Part One will probably behave fairly similarly to Half-Blood Prince, though it is going to impacted a touch by a different release date which will affect audience behavior. The weekend totals should be better in that regard. But for the final film in the series, I think we're looking at a juggernaut. The series is coming to a close, which will make it much more of an event film than it has been to this date - and I'm not saying the previous entries haven't been event films.
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