Monday Morning Quarterback

By BOP Staff

May 18, 2009

It's Angels & Demons. Without the Angels.

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Kim Hollis: I think that the blockbusters have pretty much done exactly what I would have expected them to do so far. Things really get interesting the next few weekends, with Memorial Day Weekend being an epic battle between two movies with the potential to make A LOT of money. Terminator Salvation has a kickass trailer and television commercials, and I think that the third film is remembered a lot more fondly than most people realize. I think it stands to make $100 million over four days. Over the three-day portion of the weekend, I do believe that Night at the Museum 2 is going to be the winner. The first movie was a great family film and there's no reason to believe that the new touches added for the sequel (Hank Azaria, Albert Einstein, Amy Adams) won't result in big, big returns. I see this movie making as much as three times as its predecessor did on opening weekend. Maybe more.




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David Mumpower: The biggest surprise thus far does not involve an opening weekend, which is surprising in and of itself. I don't think any of us were caught off-guard by Star Trek's debut; it's the seven days since then that have been shocking. Its trajectory for days 4-10 surpasses Iron Man in every conceivable measurable. The percentage of weekday to weekend box office was better, the second weekend hold was better and its zealous fan support is off the charts. Star Trek is the early favorite for winner of the summer in terms of performance relative to expectations. In terms of what happens next, both films appear certain to be blockbusters. The only question to be settled is degree. I'm of the opinion that Terminator Salvation is going to win, but neither of these titles will be disappointing simply because of finishing second.


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