Monday Morning Quarterback Part II

By BOP Staff

August 26, 2008

Why, God, why, isn't the Rocker playing anywhere in China?

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Thunder! Ah ah ah ah ah ahhhh!

Kim Hollis: Tropic Thunder fell 38% to $16.3 million. It has a running total of $65.8 million against in excess of $100 million. How much money does this movie need to make domestically for you to consider it a hit?

Reagen Sulewski: I don't think it can get up to where I expected to, but if it manages about $125 million, that's a very satisfying number. There's not much getting around that troublingly high budget number though.

Max Braden: It had better hit $100 million or I may start hitting random people in the face. This is a funny movie, people! You need this right now, with vacation ending and school starting! Go see it so I can see the sequel! And if not for me, think of yourselves: All those post-Iron Man offers on Robert Downey Jr.'s plate are going to dry up if Thunder's numbers resonate. The movie industry needs more Downey right now.

Tim Briody: It cost that much? Yikes. $100 million domestically is a solid figure, but it's got some work to do to make it that far. After that, DVD sales will be plentiful.

Pete Kilmer: I think it needs $140 million to be considered a hit. I'm shocked at the lack of advertising I saw during the second week. They really should have bought ads during the Olympics. Maybe they did and I missed them.




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Kim Hollis: I'd like to see it wind up with $100 million. It's definitely going to find a major audience on DVD, but I do think it's important for it to at least equal its budget if at all possible.

Scott Lumley: It's going to need to hit the magic $100 million mark. That plus the overseas sales plus the DVD's should keep someone from taking out a contract on Ben Stiller. This is actually a really funny and smart film, so I hope that it does what it needs to do.

Brandon Scott: If it were to take in $120 million, I would call it a hit with a production budget at $92 million, but it's not getting much past $100-105 million it appears. For all the hype surrounding the film, its current box office total is a letdown. It was gunned down early by NBC's Olympic coverage early but it held up pretty well this week all things considered.

Daron Aldridge: I think that $100 million would be a success if the budget truly is $90 million as reported. But with the oft mentioned starpower of the film, I think I am in the minority. Everyone just expected a bigger splash on opening weekend. It is probably as successful as any film about Hollywood is ever going to be given that genre's weak box office history.

David Mumpower: Why is Max talking about fabric softeners? Anyway, I think it's going to do well enough on video to absorb the inevitable loss in theaters, but I agree that the amount of money needed is in the $125 million range. It's not getting there.

Jason Lee: Honestly, if it even creeps close to that $100 mil mark then I think you have to consider it a success. In this day and age, box-office legs almost impress me more than a big opening weekend.


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