Monday Morning Quarterback Part II

By BOP Staff

June 17, 2008

Should I make the putt, or should I build up false hope by missing it?

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Jim Van Nest: I touched on it in the last topic, but I'd wager that Avatar will hardly use his name in its marketing. Honestly though, it really doesn't need to have a name to focus on. The title is plenty. Avatar is a huge hit in our house and has been for a while now. It's one of the few cartoons/animated series that my wife and I will routinely sit down and watch with our kids. Adding Shayamalan's name to the title or focusing on it in the advertising, unfortunately, will only draw people away from Avatar. This is for a couple reasons. The first being the horrible reviews his last two or three films have received and the fact that he is best known for The Sixth Sense, which isn't exactly family fare. If they play Avatar right, it may not be Night's Star Wars, but it could easily be his Spy Kids.




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Po is still Kung Fu Fighting

Kim Hollis: Kung Fu Panda fell only 44% to $33.6 million. Given its running total of $117.3 million, do you think it can reach Madagascar's final domestic box office of $193.1 million to become DreamWorks' most successful non-Shrek title?

Shane Jenkins: I think it's going to have a great week coming up as pretty much all the kids are out of school by now. I don't know anyone who has seen it that hasn't loved it - kid or adult. Kung Fu Panda is so much wittier and prettier than Madagascar, that I have to believe word-of-mouth and its sheer quality will win out in the end.

Tim Briody: It's going to be pretty close, but it's only got one more weekend before WALL-E becomes the number one choice for families and the drops increase. If it gets some strong weekdays in between now and then, it can do it.

Max Braden: I don't think it should have any problem passing $200 million, even given WALL-E's presence in the market.

Kim Hollis: I think $200 million is a little ambitious, but I do see it coming very close to equalling or beating Madagascar. It has a chance to hold up really well next week, though we've seen proof in the past that direct competition like WALL-E should knock a large amount of wind out of its sails.

David Mumpower: I just ran the numbers on this, and my current expectation is final box office of roughly $182 million. What this means is I believe it will fall just short, but if it sustains well in the face of WALL-E, it could very well become the best non-Shrek DreamWorks release in terms of domestic revenue. It's already there in terms of quality.

We...hate feet.

Kim Hollis: You Don't Mess with the Zohan fell a steep 57% to $16.4 million. Should we focus more on the fact that its 10-day total is mediocre for a Sandler film or is this still a solid result for Sony?

Reagen Sulewski: A 57% drop is bad news for any film, even a goofy Adam Sandler comedy. It seems like unless his films look Razzie bad (ie Little Nicky), you're always going to get the die-hards, but you can't guarantee on them sticking around for week 2.

Shane Jenkins: Yeah, I'd guess the number of people interested in seeing Adam pad his crotch and mack on 70 year-old women is pretty finite.

Kim Hollis: I'm not at all surprised by this drop. Sandler's fans seem to be getting to the point where they run right out to see his stuff and then drop off pretty quickly. It'll be a huge DVD hit, though.

David Mumpower: This one is barely going to crack $100 million, making a less than stellar performance for an Adam Sandler comedy. Then again, it would be a huge hit for almost anyone else. Everything's relative.


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