Friday Box Office Analysis
By Tim Briody
February 28, 2009
BoxOfficeProphets.com
Jonas Brothers: The 3-D Concert Experience
Attempting to capitalize on their current popularity and following in the footsteps of last year's Miley Cyrus/Hannah Montana concert film, The Jonas Brothers bring their concert film (inexplicably in 3-D) to theaters to the tune of $4.8 million. This is a rather steep drop from the $8.6 million the Best of Both Worlds Concert Tour film earned last year, and it's in nearly double the amount of theaters. I see the Jonas concert film taking a similar path as that, though, with Friday being the worst day of the weekend and Saturday and Sunday to be fueled by tweens and a few unfortunate parents. The Hannah Montana movie had a weekend multiplier of 3.6 and something in that vicinity gives the Jonas Brothers movie a weekend estimate of $17.4 million, a figure that actually gets the adjective "disappointing."
Slumdog Millionaire
The Best Picture winner expands to nearly 3,000 theaters and is rewarded with a $3.1 million Friday, a 50% increase from last Friday. The film has had reliably solid weekend multipliers throughout its run in wide release and this weekend should not be an exception, either. Give it $11.9 million for the weekend.
Street Fighter: The Legend of Chun-Li
Somehow avoiding going straight-to-DVD, Street Fighter: The Legend of Chun-Li earned $1.6 million Friday in 1,136 theaters. I don't mind saying: if you saw this, you really need to get out more. It will somehow earn $4.3 million for the weekend.
Notable Holdovers
Last week it was Madea Goes to Jail, this week it's Madea Has a 70% Friday-to-Friday Decline at the Box Office. Tyler Perry's movies tend to suffer a bit on the second weekend (Madea's Family Reunion was off 66% on its second Friday) but this is tops among them, which is probably because it also opened highest. It'll bounce back a little bit Saturday but the weekend decline is still going to be above 60%.