Power Rankings for 1/23/17
Best Picture
P/R Last C/R Film
1 1 99 La La Land
  Can it break the 14 nominations record? We shall see.
2 2 98 Moonlight
  A movie like this was never going to win Best Picture. But it will be nice to see it recognized with a nod.
3 3 97 Manchester by the Sea
  Ditto Manchester: a slow, dramatic movie like this hasn't won since arguably Ordinary People.
4 -- 90 Lion
  I've refused to believe it for so long but with PGA and DGA, it seems silly not to pick this.
5 6 89 Arrival
  This one too seems safe, again with those BAFTA DGA PGA combos.
6 9 70 Hidden Figures
  Though not a lock, this movie has done remarkably well with audiences and precursors and it's impossible to dislike. Will it get enough #1 votes?
7 8 69 Hell or High Water
  This one also seems safe-ish, the "meat and potatoes" movie from the Academy akin to American Sniper, etc.
8 4 68 Fences
  Fences seems the most vulnerable to me. Its BAFTA miss can perhaps be explained, but it's not a good sign that it did not get DGA either.
9 5 65 Hacksaw Ridge
  Although I wouldn't be surprised, the movie has shifted from the conversation of late.
10 -- 40 Captain Fantastic
  What could be that unseen dark horse? Those rarely happen, and ten is not going to happen under the sliding scale.
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